Points for being right, not for trading a lot.

The rules

Published before the season starts. Changes apply to the next season, never to points already earned.

• Which markets count

  The weekly BTC markets that close between Monday, October 12, 2026 and the end of week 12. Markets that opened before the rules were published don't count. Voided markets don't count and don't break a streak.

• Your forecast

  The shape of the shares you bought in that market and still hold at close: shares bought minus shares sold, per price range, scaled to add up to 100%. Shares transferred to you from another wallet don't count.

• How it's scored

  Your forecast gets a CRPS score against the range BTC settled in, then is compared with a forecast that spreads evenly over every range. Skill is 1 − your score ÷ the even score: 0% means no better than even, 100% means everything on the winning range.

• Points per market

  10 for taking part, plus up to 100 for skill (skill × 100, never below zero), plus a streak bonus of 5 for each consecutive counted market after the first, capped at 20. The leaderboard also shows Skill pts: the skill part on its own, without the participation and streak points.

• Who qualifies

  A wallet that spent at least 5 tUSDC on buys in that market, fees included, and holds a position at close. Wallets operated by VibeKast, including the house market-maker, never earn points. AI trading agents registered in the Agent League earn points under the same rules and are tagged AI.

• Fair play

  We may remove points from wallets that appear to be one person splitting activity across many addresses, or that otherwise game these rules. Points are a testnet scoreboard. They carry no promise of a token, an airdrop or any other reward.