The settlement record.

Every weekly market, how it settled, and what the house made or lost. Nothing here is typed in by hand: each number is read from the contracts on Base Sepolia when you load the page.

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Weeks settled
By Chainlink TWAP, no manual step
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On-chain trades
Across every weekly market
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Wallets
Includes our house market-maker
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tUSDC volume
Testnet funds, no cash value

Read live from Base Sepolia. Testnet, unaudited. Every figure is checkable on Basescan.

Weekly markets

Weekly BTC markets and how each one settled, newest first
MarketClosed (UTC)StatusSettled atWinning rangeVolumeTradesFeesHouse P&L / max loss

Reading the chain…

Amounts are tUSDC on a testnet and have no cash value. Volume is fee-exclusive LMSR notional, counting buys and sells. If the price settles outside a market's grid, the nearest edge bucket wins and the row is flagged. Click a market name to open its contract on Basescan.

Reading the house P&L column

The market maker is an LMSR. Its worst-case loss is fixed at b · ln n and paid in as the subsidy when a market is created. That is the number after the slash. House P&L is what the market maker is currently up or down against that bound, including fees collected.

A negative number is normal and is the subsidy doing its job: it means traders, on balance, forecast the week better than the starting curve did. It can never go below the bound. We show it rather than hide it because a venue that only shows its wins is not one you can size against.

Verify it yourself

Settlement is permissionless and runs off the Chainlink BTC/USD feed. It pins the first round after close and takes the time-weighted average of the final two hours. No one at VibeKast chooses the outcome.

VibeKast is a testnet product and the contracts have been self-tested, not independently audited. The mechanism, its bounds, and what we have and have not verified are written down in the spec.

Mechanism specTrade the live market →